resilience starts with information
Scientists Just Made It Possible to Predict The Weather Further Ahead Than Ever Before
Most of us have been caught out by weather forecasts that didn’t quite turn out as predicted, but today’s sophisticated models can make reasonably decent guesses up to 10 days in advance. Now a newly developed computing technique promises to push that limit out even further.
If the system fulfils its initial promise, we could be looking at another four or five days of weather forecasts that are actually useful – that is, that have a reasonable likelihood of sticking somewhere close to reality.
The secret to this new extra-long range weather forecast lies in the recording of initial observations: the state of the weather as it is now.
By reducing the variables in real time readings, researchers have been able to get supercomputers to produce forecasts that stay accurate for up to two weeks.
“Reducing the current-day initial-condition uncertainty by an order of magnitude extends the deterministic forecast lead times of day-to-day weather by up to five days,” explains the team behind the study….
Nurses Not Immune to Stress from Disaster
Two reports find that RNs are both personally and professionally affected by natural disasters
As communities hit by natural disasters go down the long path to recovery, it’s important to remember that disasters leave more in their wake than physical damage to homes and property. They also leave marks on victims’ psyches.
That includes nurses.
“When both personal life and professional life are impacted by an adverse event, as occurred in Superstorm Sandy, stress can exponentially increase,” said Victoria H. Raveis, PhD, director of the Psychosocial Research Unit on Health, Aging, and the Community at NYU College of Dentistry. “The responsibilities associated with the profession of nursing add additional demands that increase the risk for role conflict when a disaster occurs.”
She, along with colleagues at NYU Rory Meyers College of Nursing and NYU Dentistry, recently published two reports in the Journal of Nursing Scholarship that offer insights on emergency preparedness, recovery, and resilience. The studies were centered on nurses working at NYU Langone Health’s main hospital during Superstorm Sandy in 2012. Key themes that emerged were communication — both improving channels and the importance of connecting nurses with others…